Japan vs Sweden: High-Stakes Group F Showdown at the 2026 World Cup

Japan will take on Sweden in their third and final Group F match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on June 25, 2026, at Dallas Stadium. The game will be broadcast live on FOX.

The stakes couldn’t be higher. The winner is guaranteed to advance to the Round of 32, and both teams still have a realistic shot at topping the group if the Netherlands fails to win or draw their match.

Japan have been one of the standout teams so far. After fighting back twice to draw 2-2 with the Netherlands in their opener, they delivered a dominant 4-0 victory over Tunisia. This result made Japan the first AFC side in history to score four goals in a single World Cup match. They controlled 61% of possession against Tunisia — their second-highest in a World Cup game — and conceded just two shots, the fewest across their 27 World Cup appearances.

Sweden, meanwhile, started strongly with a commanding 5-1 win over Tunisia but were brought back down to earth with a heavy 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands. That loss marked Sweden’s worst World Cup result since they were hammered 7-1 by Brazil in 1950.

Japan vs Sweden Odds (via FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 25)

Moneyline

Japan: -120
Sweden: +350
Draw: +250

Spread

Japan -0.5: -120
Sweden +0.5: -105

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over: -134
Under: +110

Expert Prediction

FOX Sports wagering expert Chris “The Bear” Fallica believes this match could be wide open. He sees Japan as a dangerous side capable of troubling stronger opponents in the knockout stage, while noting that Sweden’s defense looked vulnerable against the Dutch. Fallica recommends backing Both Teams to Score at -165.

How to Watch

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Dallas Stadium, Dallas, TX
TV: FOX

Other Notable Bets

Anytime Goalscorer

Ayase Ueda: +150
Koki Ogawa: +170
Kento Shiogai: +190
Keisuke Gotō: +200
Viktor Gyokeres: +200

Tie No Bet

Japan: -310
Sweden: +230

Both Teams to Score

Yes: -168
No: +132